Governance and Strategy
Governance
INPEX’s Board of Directors supervises issues relating to climate change. Regarding individual topics related to climate change, the Climate Change Strategy Working Group – an advisory body of the Sustainability Committee made up of around 30 members from organizations across the Company – assesses climate-related risks and opportunities once every year. INPEX's governance structure for climate change including compensation, is detailed in Sustainability Structure under the heading of Governance.
Strategy
We published our Corporate Position on Climate Change in December 2015. Subsequently, to support the respect countries’ efforts toward achieving the goals of the Paris Agreement, we established a target in January 2021 to achieve net zero emissions by 2050 (Scopes 1 and 2). With changes in the external environment as well as the updating of our Long-term Strategy and Mid-term Business Plan, we then reviewed our policies and targets for achieving net zero emissions by 2050. In February 2025, together with the announcement of INPEX Vision 2035, we revised our Corporate Position on Climate Change. We will continue our efforts to reform our energy structure toward achieving net zero by 2050, while still meeting the energy demands of Japan and the world.
In addition, our disclosures related to climate change response are in line with the recommendations of the Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures (TCFD). We support the Japanese government’s laws and regulations (Act on Rationalization of Energy Use and Shift to Non-fossil Energy, Act on Promotion of Global Warming Countermeasures, etc.) and range of policies related to climate change, and incorporate them into our own policies and business strategies. In Japan, our primary base, we are active participants in the government-endorsed GX League. We engage in the emissions trading system (GX-ETS) and market-formation rule, demonstrating our leadership and commitment toward achieving net zero.
Corporate Position on Climate Change
- We will continue to meet the increasing energy demands of Japan and the world, fulfilling our responsibility for energy development and stable supply over the long term. At the same time, we will actively work towards transforming the energy structure to achieve a net zero by 2050.
- To contribute to the realization of the Paris Agreement goals on climate change, we will set climate change response targets challenging for net zero emissions by 2050.
- We will promote lower-carbon initiatives to meet societal needs toward net zero. Concrete measures include supplying natural gas as a “pragmatic transition fuel” in a cleaner manner. Additionally, we will provide lower-carbon solutions such as CCS and blue hydrogen/ammonia to third parties while strengthening new initiatives in power-related fields.
Climate-related Risks and Opportunities
We assess climate-related risks and opportunities every year. In FY2024, we conducted an assessment after the timeline was set to be in line with the period of the Mid-term Business Plan.
Status of Climate-related Risks at End of FY2024: Assessment Coverage, Expected Timing, and Action Plans
Transition Risks |
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Risk Category |
Risk Description |
Action Plan |
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Policies, laws, and regulations |
Risk of direct costs for Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions due to introduction and strengthening of carbon pricing systems, methane emission control regulations, environmental laws and regulations, and other such frameworks as the countries and regions where projects are located strengthen their climate change measures |
Short-term |
Mid-term |
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Technologies and markets |
Risk of lower demand for oil and gas due to a preference for low-carbon energy, such as renewable energy and electric vehicles |
Long-term |
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Reputation |
Risk of requirement for absolute Scope 1 and Scope 2 emission reduction targets from 2035 toward net zero by 2050 |
Mid-term |
Long-term |
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Risk of requirement for establishing Scope 3 emission reduction targets |
Short-term |
Mid-term |
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Financing |
Risk of adverse effects on funding as investors or financial institutions consider our business activities, efforts to reduce GHG emissions, or information disclosure to be inadequate |
Short-term |
Mid-term |
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Physical Risks |
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Risk Category |
Risk Description |
Expected Timing of Risk Occurrence |
Action Plan |
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Acute |
Risk of adverse effects on operations due to extreme weather phenomena |
Short-term |
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Chronic |
Risk of adverse effects on operational facilities due to the long-term average temperature increases, changes in rainfall patterns, and sea level rises |
Mid-term |
Long-term |
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Status of Climate-related Opportunities at End of FY2024: Assessment Coverage, Expected Timing, Strategies, and Progress
Opportunities Related to Resource Efficiency |
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Opportunity Assessment Target |
Expected Timing of |
Response Status |
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Improvements to energy efficiency in production processes |
Short-term |
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Opportunities Related to Energy Sources |
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Opportunity Assessment Target |
Expected Timing of Opportunity Occurrence |
Response Status |
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Use of renewable energy sources in production processes |
Short-term |
Mid- |
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Mid- |
Long-term |
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Long-term |
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Opportunities Related to Products and Services |
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Opportunity Assessment Target |
Expected Timing of Opportunity Occurrence |
Response Status |
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Natural gas and LNG businesses |
Mid-term |
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CCS business |
Mid-term |
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Long-term |
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Hydrogen business |
Long-term |
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Power business |
Short-term |
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Mid-term |
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Long-term |
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Underground resources other than oil and natural gas |
Mid-term |
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Long-term |
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Others |
Short-term |
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Mid-term |
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Long-term |
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Opportunities Related to Markets |
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Opportunity Assessment Target |
Expected Timing of Opportunity Occurrence |
Response Status |
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Access to new markets |
Short-term |
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Mid-term |
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Transition Risk Assessment
We use two methods to assess the potential financial effect of climate-related risks using scenarios in the International Energy Agency (IEA) World Energy Outlook (WEO) report. The first method is a valuation of our projects using our internal carbon price. We employ our internal carbon price on the base case of our valuation as well, because more than 150 countries and regions have already declared net zero targets by 2050, anticipating a growing number of countries to introduce carbon pricing as they bolster policies to tackle climate change. Through codifying application of the internal carbon price also on the base case, we have come to recognize the costs incurred for GHG emissions as an important factor in business investment. We also show our stakeholders that we are making management decisions after considering the transition risks.
Each year, we update our internal carbon price with reference to the carbon prices in the WEO. Starting in FY2023, we reflect on the IEA WEO carbon price forecast and, if there is a carbon price system in the country in which we operate, reference our quoted price based on factors such as estimates provided by external experts. If there is no carbon price system in the country in which we operate, we referenced variable prices linked to the 2023 version of the STEPS EU prices (2030: US$120/ton-CO2e; 2040: US$129/ton-CO2e; 2050: US$135/ton-CO2e).
However, the 2024 version of the STEPS EU prices on 2030 are at a higher level than the prices in the Announced Pledges Scenario (APS) by developed countries who have declared to achieve net zero emissions. Therefore, it is becoming less appropriate to use the STEPS EU prices as the base case for countries without a carbon price system. In addition, taking into consideration the system design overview of GX-ETS, Japan’s emissions trading system (ETS) which is currently being discussed, the concept such as free allocation of emission allowances is similar to the current ETS of South Korea among the countries listed in the WEO. As such, for FY2025 and onward, we use the predicted prices of South Korea in STEPS for countries without a carbon price system.
The second method is to assess the resilience of our business portfolio. This is an assessment of the effect on our portfolio from the oil and carbon prices in the STEPS, APS, and Net Zero Emissions by 2050 Scenario (NZE). We apply the oil and carbon prices under these three scenarios to the net present value (NPV) calculation for projects, and calculate the percentage of change from the NPV for the base case to assess the effect on our portfolio. We will continue to refine the implementation standards for this method to improve the competitiveness of our business portfolio as we factor in changes in the business environment.
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Valuation of Projects |
Assessment of Resilience of Portfolio |
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Assessment method |
Assessment of the economic effect on projects using internal carbon prices |
Assessment of the financial effect based on oil and carbon prices under the following scenarios:
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Metric |
IRR based on internal carbon price (base case) |
The percentage of change from NPV based on application of the relevant metric prices |
Status |
Adopted as base case since FY2021 |
Implemented since FY2018; NZE scenario added from FY2022 |
Physical Risk Assessment
We analyze physical risks to the Company as either acute risks or chronic risks, reviewing them as necessary. In FY2018, we reviewed the process for assessing physical risks, then developed a roadmap and started assessing physical risks at the Ichthys LNG and our domestic assets in Niigata Prefecture, as major operator projects. Together, they account for 100% of our insurance coverage of domestic and overseas operator projects in operation. Subsequently, we reassessed physical risks at the Naoetsu LNG Terminal, one of our major facilities, following a revision of a report that informs our assessments. This report provides observations and projections assessment, as issued by the Japan Meteorological Agency.
The Representative Concentration Pathways 8.5 (RCP 8.5) scenario, discussed in this report, predicts an average sea level rise of approximately 0.19 meters. Our assessment showed that this facility structure can withstand a sea level rise of that magnitude. We also hire an external assessment service to calculate the costs of direct and indirect damage to our domestic assets caused by potential riverine flooding and storm surges. As a result, we confirmed limited potential damage as of 2030 and 2050, to the top 10 sites in Japan (plants, gas pipelines, and major subsidiary offices) covered by our comprehensive corporate indemnity insurance. For all these physical risk assessments, we used the same metrics, such as mid-21st century average temperature rises and sea level rises, in the RCP 8.5 scenario outlined in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fifth Assessment Report (AR5).
For chronic risks, the assessments indicate a low risk from floods at the Ichthys LNG Project and other major facilities located on the seaboard because they have been designed to withstand rising sea levels. Future temperature increases could conceivably impair operating efficiency, but because we conduct ongoing improvements and maintenance to the facilities as required, we have concluded that no major damage is likely to occur through 2030. For acute risks, we strive to ensure that our major operator projects are adequately prepared for typhoons, cyclones, and other extreme weather phenomena through appropriate planning, operational measures, training, and use of external information.
At the LNG receiving jetty at the Naoetsu LNG Terminal, we have installed an interconnection line linking to the neighboring power station. This setup ensures continuity in operations in the event of damage to our own facilities, enabling us to continue to receive LNG via the jetty at the power station. Insuring our major facilities against natural disaster is another way we strive to reduce financial losses associated with acute risks. We also assessed risks to our gas pipeline from natural disasters in Japan and considered countermeasures, from which we carried out replacement work on sections of the pipeline deemed to have a high natural disaster risk.
In the Hazard Identification (HAZID) guidelines, a HSE management system document, we have included a section on the impact of climate change in the introductory work for HAZID workshops. We are incorporating physical risk assessments into our risk management approach across all life cycles of business activities, including new projects. Cross-organizational teams will continue to conduct periodic physical risk assessments and make appropriate disclosures. Simultaneously, we aim to diversify our analysis methods to conduct more comprehensive assessments.
INPEX’s Low-carbon Society Scenarios
In considering the outlook for the business environment, including energy demand and supply to realize a low-carbon society by 20501, we refer to the STEPS, APS, and NZE of the IEA WEO as well as the Reference Scenario and Advanced Technologies Scenario of The Institute of Energy Economics, Japan (IEEJ).
INPEX Vision 2035, our Long-term Strategy and Mid-term Business Plan, was developed in February 2025 based on these scenarios. We will continue to grasp changes in the business environment through scenario review, and review management strategies and plans in line with social trends.
1The IEA WEO sets out an outlook on the global energy situation through 2050.